A quiet Shabbat window produced three stories the market talk shows will not give you. First, the Finance Ministry’s deputy chief economist, Galit Ben Naim, opened the books on what buyers who cancel new-home purchases actually pay. Contracts almost always set the penalty at 10 percent of the price. In practice, in the south, the average paid was about 20,000 shekels, and a third of cancelling buyers had paid nothing at all by the time they walked. Second, a tax appeals committee in the north taxed an Afula land deal at 1.57 million shekels after the sides declared only 850,000, a reminder that the contract price is only the starting point. Third, Ramat Hasharon’s mayor said on the record that he is bound to about 26,000 planned homes he would rather shrink, and that the Ta’as compound will not be built for 35 to 40 years. Home-price index echoes kept rolling through the weekend papers; the index story itself is already on our site.
Walking away from a new flat rarely costs the full 10 percent
Israeli sale contracts for new homes usually fix agreed compensation, the sum a breaching buyer owes the seller, at 10 percent of the price. New Treasury data says most cancelling buyers never pay anything close to that.
On Saturday evening, deputy chief economist Galit Ben Naim published a breakdown of the cancellation files behind the ministry’s August review. That review counts 1,821 recorded cancellations of new-home purchases signed in 2023 to 2025, up 41 percent from the January count of 1,294. The Be’er Sheva assessment region, which covers the south, leads with 475. Her new details, reported by Globes on Sunday morning, show why buyers walk and what it costs them. In about two thirds of the southern cancellations, the reason filed with the Tax Authority was financial difficulty: a mortgage was refused, or the buyer concluded they could not finish paying. In a third of the southern cases the buyer had paid nothing by cancellation day. Add the buyers who had paid only tens of thousands, and you reach half of all cancellations there.
The penalty side is the surprise. Many settlement papers used the phrase “beyond the letter of the law,” meaning the seller waived the 10 percent, in full or in part. The average compensation actually paid in the south was about 20,000 shekels, pulled down by many full waivers. Some buyers did pay 200,000 shekels or more, and one Tel Aviv cancellation cost about half a million.
The 10 percent clause still has teeth when a court decides the buyer breached. Days earlier, the Ashkelon Magistrates’ Court ordered a couple who cancelled a 1.82 million shekel flat purchase over a late title registration to pay 182,000 shekels plus 20,000 in costs, ruling the cancellation itself was the breach, as ynet reported on Friday. Our own check: 182,000 is exactly 10 percent of 1.82 million, the contract formula enforced to the shekel. So a buyer weighing an exit is really weighing which side of that line they will land on: a negotiated waiver, or the full clause. Before signing a cancellation agreement, it is worth knowing that full waivers are common enough to pull a regional average down to 20,000 shekels. The cancellation wave itself, and how it clashes with record mortgage volumes, is a story our site has covered.
They declared 850,000 for Afula land. The state taxed 1.57 million
A tax appeals committee at the Nof HaGalil-Nazareth District Court has rejected two appeals over land in Afula, setting the taxable value of each deal at 1,565,776 shekels, close to double the 849,788 shekels written in the contracts. Bizportal reported the ruling on Saturday, quoting it at length; the report does not state the decision date.
Two identical contracts signed in March 2022 covered plots in Afula’s Gush 16744, land zoned for housing. The Nazareth land-tax office refused the declared price and issued its own assessment, called a best-judgment assessment, of 2 million shekels per deal. The sellers appealed, and their own appraiser priced the land at 1,315,800 shekels. Committee chair Judge Irit Hod noted the obvious: even by the appellants’ own expert, the real value was nearly twice what they had declared.
The ruling walks through how these fights work. The contract price is presumed honest, and the burden sits first on the tax office to prove a real gap to market value using comparable deals. Only then must the taxpayer prove good faith and no special relationship between the sides. Here the state’s appraiser reached 1,639,000 shekels, and after four nearby settlement deals were added to the comparison, the figure settled at 182,067 shekels per buildable housing unit, or 1,565,776 per deal.
The appeals lost, but the fight still moved the number. Our own arithmetic: the final value is 84 percent above the declared price, yet 434,224 shekels, about 22 percent, below the tax office’s original 2 million assessment. Anyone selling land at a price well under nearby comparables should expect the declared figure to be challenged, and should budget for tax on market value, not contract value. How the tax itself works is explained in our mas shevach guide.
Ramat Hasharon’s mayor is bound to 26,000 homes he would rather shrink
Itzik Rochberger, mayor of Ramat Hasharon, says the city’s master plan carries about 26,000 planned housing units, and that he is committed to advancing them even though he dislikes the scale. “I received a certain inheritance. I don’t like it, but I am bound to promote it,” he said in an interview with Nadlan Center published Sunday morning.
The numbers he put on the record matter for anyone watching the Glilot, Ta’as and Elco compounds. He expects the city’s roof agreement, a deal where the state funds infrastructure in exchange for housing starts, to bring about 7 billion shekels for roads, public buildings and upgrades to older neighborhoods. He wants Glilot, the first compound in line, cut from almost 20,000 units to about 12,000, a reduction of roughly 40 percent by his own figures. On Ta’as, the former military-industry land, he was blunt: no construction for the next 35 to 40 years, because soil decontamination talks are only starting. And he will not approve building at Elco before a new interchange at Morasha, since the city entrance is already jammed.
For buyers pricing the Sharon’s biggest pipeline, the mayor’s timeline is a useful discount rate. Tens of thousands of units exist on paper, but the man who signs the permits expects one compound to shrink and another to sit for a generation. He also said the city will push rental units and discounted flats for Ramat Hasharon residents in each compound, and that renewal of the older Morasha neighborhood and Sokolov street should show visible progress within two years.
Sources
Globes, August 16, on the cancellation penalty data · ynet, August 14, on the Ashkelon cancellation ruling · Bizportal, August 15, on the Afula valuation ruling · Nadlan Center, August 16, interview with Itzik Rochberger